Opinion Way/Elabe Poll for Les Echoes
Opinion Way poll shows support for all candidates is stable:
Le Pen is at 25%
Macron is at 25%
Fillon is at 20%
Melenchon is at 15%
Hamon is at 10%
Macron and Fillon will both, according to the polls, defeat Le Pen in the second round. In a Macron -v- Le Pen scenario, Macron to win 64% -v- 36%. In a Fillon -v- Le Pen scenario, Fillon to win 60% -v- 40%.
The same poll, updated yesterday, showed Macron ahead in the race with 25.5%, followed by Le Pen with 24% and Fillon with 18% (up 1% since the last Elabe poll).
Melenchon is up a point and a half to 15% and Hamon down a point and a half to 10%.
Hamon continues to lose momentum and to rank fifth in the race (a first in the history of the fifth Republic for a Socialist candidate). He is now trying to get closer to left and left-wing parties in order to attract more voters.
Melenchon is still not willing to form an alliance with Hamon, and will now more than ever (with 15% of voting intentions) not step down to let Hamon run for the ‘left’ side of the electorate.
The fragmentation on the left continues and will no doubt lead to a reshaping of the political landscape after the election.
At dinner last night I was asked who I thought would win. Macron continues to be the media darling and the polls are looking very much in his favour.
Sources:
Further Reading:
Reuters, 29.3.17, Macron on course to win French presidency
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-france-election-poll-idUSKBN1702HZ
If you can read French, this one is a good one to follow. It’s the one I use for the poll updates:
https://www.lesechos.fr/elections/index.php
The Guardian commentary on the French presidential debate between the top 5 candidates on 20.3.17:
#frenchelection, @benoithamon, @EmmanuelMacron, @FrancoisFillon, @guardian, @JLMelenchon, @jonhenley, @MLP_officiel, @opinionway
You might also like
-
Is this justice in the modern age?
July 18, 2018 -
Freedom of Expression and Assembly in Hong Kong: The continuing ‘repression of young democrats’ is ‘unwise and shameful’, says Paddy Ashdown
June 15, 2018 -
Miles Apart: Trump and Trudeau at the G7 Summit in Canada this weekend
June 11, 2018
